Species · Washington · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-necked Stilt Population Trend in Washington
Black-necked Stilt in Washington has surged: up 301% on the route-weighted index since 1989.
+301%Since 1989
9Routes In State
25Years
Notable Black-necked Stilt Trends in Washington
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-necked Stilt has surged in Washington: up 301% on the route-weighted index since 1989.
Black-necked Stilt Population Forecast in Washington
If the recent trend holds, Black-necked Stilt in Washington is projected to fall about 74% by 2026 — from 0.58 in 2021 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.00–0.36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±98.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-74%Change by 2026
0.15Projected 2026 index
0.00–0.3695% range
±98.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| 2023 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| 2024 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.36 |
| 2025 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.36 |
| 2026 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.36 |
Black-necked Stilt Survey Routes in Washington
| Columbia Nwr | 40 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Othello | 2 | 1991 | 1987 |
| Moses Lake | 2 | 2008 | 2000 |
| Mesa | 2 | 2005 | 1994 |
| Potholes | 2 | 2019 | 2007 |
| Brewster | 1 | 2018 | 1987 |
| Harrington | 1 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Reardan | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Wapato | 1 | 1990 | 1990 |
Black-necked Stilt Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.