BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-necked Stilt Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesShorebirds

Black-necked Stilt in Arkansas has surged: up 710% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

+710%Since 1994
12Routes In State
21Years

Notable Black-necked Stilt Trends in Arkansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Black-necked Stilt has surged in Arkansas: up 710% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

Black-necked Stilt Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Black-necked Stilt in Arkansas is projected to rise about 321% by 2029 — from 0.32 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.48–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±100.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+321%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.48–2.295% range
±100.1%Backtest error
19892029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.20.342.1
20261.20.372.1
20271.30.412.1
20281.30.452.2
20291.40.482.2

Black-necked Stilt Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Black-necked Stilt in Arkansas.
Harrisburg820191993
Dell720242010
Kelso620102010
Augusta519941994
South Bend420101997
Maynard420222022
Eudora220091989
Hickory Ridge220222016
Ulm220182004
Lafe120222017
Gillett120242016
Wilson120242010

Black-necked Stilt Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonacaliforniacoloradodelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoiskansaslouisianamarylandmississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconorth-carolinaoklahomaoregonsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahwashingtonwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.