BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-necked Stilt Population Trend in Texas

All statesShorebirds

Black-necked Stilt in Texas has surged: up 308% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+308%Since 1969
72Routes In State
57Years

Notable Black-necked Stilt Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Black-necked Stilt has surged in Texas: up 308% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Black-necked Stilt Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Black-necked Stilt in Texas is projected to rise about 61% by 2029 — from 0.73 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.62–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+61%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.62–1.795% range
±35.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.10.561.7
20261.10.571.7
20271.10.591.7
20281.20.601.7
20291.20.621.7

Black-necked Stilt Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Black-necked Stilt in Texas.
Winnie2320241967
Panhandle2120162016
Katy1720241969
Chinquapin1620241995
Arenosa Crk1420021993
Quitman Canyon 21320192010
Bayside 21220041997
Raymondville1020241969
Hackberry1020122012
Hinkles Fer920231970
Campbellton920182006
Indianola820241967
Saragosa820222022
Encinal 2820152015
Pantex820232009
Claytonville720221995
Friona720222001
Danbury620241967
Stowell520221971
Bayside520101994
Tenmile520232015
Dalhart520241996
Kingsville420191970
Millett 2420212021
Presidio420112001

Black-necked Stilt Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradodelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoiskansaslouisianamarylandmississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconorth-carolinaoklahomaoregonsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahwashingtonwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.