Species · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-chinned Hummingbird

TrochilidaeForest birdsArchilochus alexandri

Black-chinned Hummingbird has surged: up 142% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

About the Black-chinned Hummingbird

The Black-chinned Hummingbird (Archilochus alexandri) is a North American member of the Hummingbirds (Trochilidae). In this analysis it is grouped with the forest birds.

Size
3–5 in long (8–13 cm) — a tiny hovering bird (typical for the family)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Insects and spiders gleaned from foliage and bark, with seeds and berries in season.
Range
Recorded on 526 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 13 states, most concentrated in the Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau.
Family
Trochilidae · Forest birds

Notable Black-chinned Hummingbird TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Black-chinned Hummingbird. See the full index history below.

Black-chinned Hummingbird Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-chinned Hummingbird is projected to rise about 70% by 2029 — from 0.05 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.07–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Black-chinned Hummingbird is projected to rise about 70% by 2029 — from 0.05 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.07–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.090.060.12
20260.090.060.12
20270.090.060.12
20280.090.070.12
20290.090.070.12

Where the Black-chinned Hummingbird Is Detected

BBS routes recording Black-chinned Hummingbird, sized by most recent count.

Black-chinned Hummingbird Population Trend by State

Black-chinned Hummingbird population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Arizona-69%197055
California-52%197291
Colorado+68%197549
Idaho+148%197816
Montana-56%20006
Nevada+103%199217
New Mexico+57%197258
Oklahoma+213%200410
Oregon+20%19928
Texas+28%1969112
Utah-26%197172
Washington+1%197229
Wyominginsufficient datan/a3

Black-chinned Hummingbird Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Black-chinned Hummingbird population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Great Basin+202%197261
Northern Rockies+55%197736
Sierra Nevada-52%19756
Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau+9%1970136
Shortgrass Prairie-64%197527
Central Mixed Grass Prairie+329%197319
Edwards Plateau+11%196919
Oaks and Prairies+48%196934
Coastal California-44%197264
Sonoran and Mojave Deserts-20%197337
Sierra Madre Occidental-77%197027
Chihuahuan Desert+26%197044
Tamaulipan Brushlands+65%197411

Black-chinned Hummingbird Conservation Status

Our route-weighted index shows it up about 142% since 1969.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.