BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-chinned Hummingbird Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesGeneralists

Black-chinned Hummingbird in New Mexico has risen sharply: up 57% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

+57%Since 1972
58Routes In State
50Years

Notable Black-chinned Hummingbird Trends in New Mexico

long arc increasecomputed index

Black-chinned Hummingbird has risen sharply in New Mexico: up 57% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

Black-chinned Hummingbird Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Black-chinned Hummingbird in New Mexico is projected to rise about 44% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.47 (95% range 0.17–0.77). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+44%Change by 2029
0.47Projected 2029 index
0.17–0.7795% range
±82.2%Backtest error
19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.450.150.76
20260.460.150.76
20270.460.160.76
20280.470.160.77
20290.470.170.77

Black-chinned Hummingbird Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Black-chinned Hummingbird in New Mexico.
Mesilla1320001992
Laborcita520191992
Laborcita 2420242022
La Plata420131991
Red Rock420241993
La Cienega320221972
Valencia319971970
La Plata 2320162014
Capitan Mtn.320162013
Emory Pass320231993
Bluewater Lake320212021
Nageesi220041971
Farley220242024
Wagon Mound219741974
Carrizozo220241994
Cloudcroft219821975
Counselor220152005
Pastura220081994
Escondida220231998
Lake Valley220061981
Farmington119811977
Cebolla120151973
Grenville120112011
Crownpoint119941994
Pecos120171980

Black-chinned Hummingbird Population Trend in Other States

arizonacaliforniacoloradoidahomontananevadaoklahomaoregontexasutahwashingtonwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.