BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-chinned Hummingbird In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Black-chinned Hummingbird in Chihuahuan Desert has increased: up 26% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+26%Since 1970
44Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Black-chinned Hummingbird in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-chinned Hummingbird in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.58 (95% range 0.06–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±104.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+5%Change by 2029
0.58Projected 2029 index
0.06–1.195% range
±104.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.570.041.1
20260.570.051.1
20270.580.051.1
20280.580.051.1
20290.580.061.1

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Black-chinned Hummingbird in Chihuahuan Desert.
MesillaNEW-MEXICO132000
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO52019
Red RockNEW-MEXICO42024
Laborcita 2NEW-MEXICO42024
Capitan Mtn.NEW-MEXICO32016
PresidioTEXAS32013
Ft. DavisTEXAS32022
CarrizozoNEW-MEXICO22024
CloudcroftNEW-MEXICO21982
EscondidaNEW-MEXICO22023
Lake ValleyNEW-MEXICO22006
ShafterTEXAS21983
SlaughterTEXAS22014
Quitman Cyn.TEXAS22008
CanutilloTEXAS22024
Chisos BasinTEXAS22017
San AntonioNEW-MEXICO11977
RoswellNEW-MEXICO12021
GageNEW-MEXICO12016
JornadaNEW-MEXICO12024
LakewoodNEW-MEXICO11989
RodeoNEW-MEXICO11974
PinonNEW-MEXICO12017
QueenNEW-MEXICO12012
Hatchet PeakNEW-MEXICO11994

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.