BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-chinned Hummingbird In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsGeneralists

Black-chinned Hummingbird in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has edged down: down 20% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

-20%Since 1973
37Routes In Region
47Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Black-chinned Hummingbird in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-chinned Hummingbird in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.15 (95% range 0.00–0.32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±296.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.15Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3295% range
±296.2%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.150.000.32
20260.150.000.32
20270.150.000.32
20280.150.000.32
20290.150.000.32

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording Black-chinned Hummingbird in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
Cutter 2ARIZONA42018
Joshua TreeCALIFORNIA42000
Cabeza PrietARIZONA32023
NelsonNEVADA32009
OatmanARIZONA22003
Cibola LakeARIZONA22019
Palo VerdeARIZONA22011
Palo Verde 2ARIZONA22017
Willow Beach 2ARIZONA22021
OnyxCALIFORNIA21994
InyokernCALIFORNIA21991
BlytheCALIFORNIA21979
Val Of FireNEVADA22011
Jean LakeNEVADA22009
QuartzsiteARIZONA11997
VicksburgARIZONA11983
FlorenceARIZONA11974
LagunaARIZONA11978
AjoARIZONA12000
RivieraARIZONA12016
Alamo Res.ARIZONA12024
ArabyARIZONA12005
Casa GrandeARIZONA12017
Organ PipeARIZONA11990
Bates WellARIZONA12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.