BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-chinned Hummingbird In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGeneralists

Black-chinned Hummingbird in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 329% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+329%Since 1973
19Routes In Region
47Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black-chinned Hummingbird has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 329% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-chinned Hummingbird in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.18 (95% range 0.07–0.30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±243.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.18Projected 2029 index
0.07–0.3095% range
±243.4%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.170.060.29
20260.180.060.29
20270.180.070.29
20280.180.070.30
20290.180.070.30

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Black-chinned Hummingbird in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Shields 2TEXAS52023
HawleyTEXAS42013
Pear ValleyTEXAS32023
EldoradoTEXAS32023
ArapahoOKLAHOMA22012
WinchellTEXAS22021
Eagle CityOKLAHOMA12000
GrimesOKLAHOMA12014
CoopertonOKLAHOMA12022
SicklesOKLAHOMA12012
WoodwardOKLAHOMA12024
Wichita Mtns EastOKLAHOMA12021
Wichita Mts WestOKLAHOMA12022
MertzonTEXAS12019
RotanTEXAS12023
HaskellTEXAS11996
WallTEXAS12022
SilverTEXAS12019
CharlieTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.