Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-chinned Hummingbird In Great Basin
Black-chinned Hummingbird in Great Basin has surged: up 202% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
+202%Since 1972
61Routes In Region
44Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-chinned Hummingbird has surged in Great Basin: up 202% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Black-chinned Hummingbird in Great Basin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.12 (95% range 0.07–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+2%Change by 2029
0.12Projected 2029 index
0.07–0.1795% range
±13.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| 2026 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| 2027 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| 2028 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| 2029 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.17 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Magic Mtn | IDAHO | 8 | 2024 |
| Ruby Valley | NEVADA | 4 | 1999 |
| Hardware Ranch | UTAH | 4 | 2023 |
| Cedar Hill | IDAHO | 3 | 2024 |
| Comins Lake | NEVADA | 3 | 2016 |
| Pendleton | OREGON | 3 | 2024 |
| Newcastle | UTAH | 3 | 2021 |
| Columbia Nwr | WASHINGTON | 3 | 2022 |
| Fish Creek | NEVADA | 2 | 2019 |
| Hiko | NEVADA | 2 | 2022 |
| Desert Nwr | NEVADA | 2 | 2018 |
| Delta | UTAH | 2 | 2015 |
| Tonasket | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2001 |
| Nighthawk | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2023 |
| Big Pine | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2010 |
| Macdoel | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1992 |
| Deep Springs | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1974 |
| Bartle | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1990 |
| Fall River Mills | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1998 |
| Iron Gate | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2013 |
| Gifford | IDAHO | 1 | 2009 |
| Triangle | IDAHO | 1 | 2006 |
| Pasadena Val | IDAHO | 1 | 2016 |
| Joel | IDAHO | 1 | 2023 |
| Silver City | IDAHO | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.