Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-chinned Hummingbird In Shortgrass Prairie
Black-chinned Hummingbird in Shortgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
-64%Since 1975
27Routes In Region
33Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Black-chinned Hummingbird has fallen sharply in Shortgrass Prairie: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Black-chinned Hummingbird in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.03Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0995% range
±41.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2029 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
Routes In Shortgrass Prairie
| Post | TEXAS | 3 | 2019 |
| Kermit | TEXAS | 3 | 1994 |
| Farley | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2024 |
| Wagon Mound | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 1974 |
| Mica Butte | COLORADO | 1 | 1987 |
| Villegreen | COLORADO | 1 | 2017 |
| Cone Mtn | COLORADO | 1 | 2008 |
| Ninaview | COLORADO | 1 | 2015 |
| Elbert | COLORADO | 1 | 2021 |
| Doyle Bridge 2 | COLORADO | 1 | 2016 |
| Grenville | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2011 |
| Cooley Lake | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2021 |
| Sedan | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2011 |
| Variadero | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2012 |
| Pep | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2014 |
| Sabinoso | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2015 |
| Maxwell | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2011 |
| Felt | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2018 |
| Rankin | TEXAS | 1 | 1975 |
| Lamesa | TEXAS | 1 | 2019 |
| Plains | TEXAS | 1 | 2015 |
| Circle | TEXAS | 1 | 2019 |
| Floydada | TEXAS | 1 | 2006 |
| Frankel City | TEXAS | 1 | 1994 |
| Dougherty | TEXAS | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.