Species · Pennsylvania · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Green Heron Population Trend in Pennsylvania
Green Heron in Pennsylvania has fallen sharply: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-54%Since 1968
123Routes In State
58Years
Notable Green Heron Trends in Pennsylvania
long arc declinecomputed index
Green Heron has fallen sharply in Pennsylvania: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Green Heron Population Forecast in Pennsylvania
If the recent trend holds, Green Heron in Pennsylvania is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.03–0.34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-35%Change by 2029
0.18Projected 2029 index
0.03–0.3495% range
±23%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.36 |
| 2026 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.36 |
| 2027 | 0.19 | 0.04 | 0.35 |
| 2028 | 0.19 | 0.03 | 0.34 |
| 2029 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 0.34 |
Green Heron Survey Routes in Pennsylvania
| Eldred | 4 | 2015 | 1975 |
| Drehersville 2 | 4 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Hop Bottom | 3 | 2015 | 1967 |
| Honesdale | 3 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Parkwood | 3 | 2019 | 1979 |
| Brunnerville | 3 | 2007 | 1969 |
| Schaefferstown 2 | 3 | 2018 | 2002 |
| Shrewsbury | 3 | 2012 | 1991 |
| Slippery Rk | 2 | 1992 | 1971 |
| Espyville | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Ferris Crnrs | 2 | 2024 | 1971 |
| N Pine Grove | 2 | 2022 | 1971 |
| Betula | 2 | 2016 | 1975 |
| Russell City | 2 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Ridgway | 2 | 2018 | 2008 |
| Starlight | 2 | 1988 | 1970 |
| Greentown | 2 | 2019 | 1969 |
| Poyntelle | 2 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Portersville | 2 | 1976 | 1973 |
| Beaver | 2 | 2023 | 1972 |
| Kaylor | 2 | 2018 | 1969 |
| Clear Spring | 2 | 2013 | 1968 |
| Mt Gretna | 2 | 1988 | 1966 |
| Scheafferstn | 2 | 1976 | 1966 |
| Clearfield | 2 | 2021 | 1968 |
Green Heron Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonrhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.