Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Green Heron Population Trend in Kentucky
Green Heron in Kentucky has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-74%Since 1968
60Routes In State
58Years
Notable Green Heron Trends in Kentucky
long arc declinecomputed index
Green Heron has fallen sharply in Kentucky: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Green Heron Population Forecast in Kentucky
If the recent trend holds, Green Heron in Kentucky is projected to fall about 62% by 2029 — from 0.50 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.19 (95% range 0.00–0.78). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-62%Change by 2029
0.19Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7895% range
±32%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| 2026 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
| 2027 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.83 |
| 2028 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.81 |
| 2029 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.78 |
Green Heron Survey Routes in Kentucky
| Daniel Boone | 5 | 1984 | 1966 |
| Iron Bridge | 4 | 1988 | 1966 |
| Plum | 3 | 2023 | 1966 |
| East Union | 3 | 2017 | 1966 |
| Gesling | 3 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Campton | 3 | 1982 | 1979 |
| Shiloh | 2 | 2015 | 1968 |
| Sulphur Lick | 2 | 2018 | 1966 |
| Sunnybrook | 2 | 2017 | 1974 |
| Monticello | 2 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Bardwell | 2 | 2003 | 1967 |
| Kings Mtn | 2 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Johnsonville | 2 | 2018 | 1966 |
| Hudson | 2 | 2018 | 1966 |
| Eastview | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Drakesboro | 2 | 1993 | 1971 |
| Shelbyville | 2 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Goshen | 2 | 1998 | 1966 |
| Pleasurevill | 2 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Levee 2 | 2 | 2019 | 2008 |
| Hodgenville 2 | 2 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Lebanon Junction | 2 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Cumberlnd Gp | 1 | 2004 | 1967 |
| Lovelacevile | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Canton | 1 | 2023 | 1967 |
Green Heron Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.