Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Green Heron Population Trend in Missouri
Green Heron in Missouri has fallen sharply: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-50%Since 1969
84Routes In State
57Years
Notable Green Heron Trends in Missouri
long arc declinecomputed index
Green Heron has fallen sharply in Missouri: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Green Heron Population Forecast in Missouri
If the recent trend holds, Green Heron in Missouri is projected to fall about 42% by 2029 — from 0.57 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.00–0.79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-42%Change by 2029
0.33Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7995% range
±46.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.84 |
| 2026 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.83 |
| 2027 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.81 |
| 2028 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2029 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.79 |
Green Heron Survey Routes in Missouri
| Pulaski | 6 | 2015 | 1975 |
| Rockingham | 4 | 1999 | 1971 |
| Stet | 4 | 1990 | 1972 |
| Sedalia | 4 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Milford | 4 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Sni Mills | 3 | 1990 | 1968 |
| Sticklervill | 3 | 2012 | 1972 |
| Trenton | 3 | 2001 | 1975 |
| Kearney | 3 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Gildehouse | 3 | 1989 | 1979 |
| Auburn | 3 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Mincy | 3 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Cp Girardeau | 2 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Cascade | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Ironton | 2 | 1980 | 1973 |
| Wesco | 2 | 2023 | 1974 |
| Clementine | 2 | 1996 | 1975 |
| Cole Camp | 2 | 1989 | 1974 |
| Rensselaer | 2 | 2007 | 1984 |
| Bolckow | 2 | 1990 | 1967 |
| Marshfield | 2 | 2017 | 1994 |
| Osage Beach | 2 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Graniteville | 2 | 2023 | 1982 |
| Woodlandville | 2 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Lincoln | 2 | 2019 | 2018 |
Green Heron Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippinebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.