Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Green Heron Population Trend in Arizona
Green Heron in Arizona has fallen sharply: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1982.
-72%Since 1982
11Routes In State
26Years
Notable Green Heron Trends in Arizona
long arc declinecomputed index
Green Heron has fallen sharply in Arizona: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1982.
Green Heron Population Forecast in Arizona
If the recent trend holds, Green Heron in Arizona is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±99%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0695% range
±99%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2026 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2027 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2028 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2029 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
Green Heron Survey Routes in Arizona
| Araby | 2 | 2019 | 1996 |
| Carr Mtn | 2 | 2011 | 1989 |
| Patagonia | 1 | 1981 | 1981 |
| Cibola Lake | 1 | 1998 | 1995 |
| Palo Verde | 1 | 2009 | 1994 |
| Palo Verde 2 | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Redington | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Laguna | 1 | 2022 | 1981 |
| Coolidge | 1 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Pomerene | 1 | 1982 | 1982 |
| San Simon | 1 | 1979 | 1979 |
Green Heron Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.