Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Green Heron Population Trend in North Carolina
Green Heron in North Carolina has declined: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-50%Since 1968
95Routes In State
58Years
Notable Green Heron Trends in North Carolina
No notable trend signals for Green Heron in North Carolina. See the full index history below.
Green Heron Population Forecast in North Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Green Heron in North Carolina is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 0.40 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.46 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+14%Change by 2029
0.46Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±45%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
Green Heron Survey Routes in North Carolina
| Beargrass | 10 | 1981 | 1966 |
| Grandy | 7 | 1975 | 1971 |
| Jarvisburg | 6 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Youngsville | 5 | 2023 | 1972 |
| Dortches | 4 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Mount Airy | 4 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Myrtle Grove | 3 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Speed | 3 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Mooresville | 3 | 1996 | 1968 |
| Call | 3 | 2016 | 1969 |
| Jamesville | 3 | 2024 | 1983 |
| California 2 | 3 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Montague | 3 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Mattamuskeet | 3 | 2021 | 1998 |
| Fairmont | 2 | 1981 | 1970 |
| Arapahoe | 2 | 1995 | 1974 |
| Rose | 2 | 2018 | 1974 |
| Madison | 2 | 1985 | 1976 |
| Rowland | 2 | 2019 | 1990 |
| Mooresville 2 | 2 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Roseboro | 2 | 2017 | 1996 |
| Rhems | 2 | 1993 | 1991 |
| Sheffield | 2 | 2013 | 1991 |
| Monticello | 2 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Bullock | 2 | 2024 | 2010 |
Green Heron Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.