Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Green Heron Population Trend in New Jersey
Green Heron in New Jersey has fallen sharply: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-57%Since 1968
39Routes In State
58Years
Notable Green Heron Trends in New Jersey
long arc declinecomputed index
Green Heron has fallen sharply in New Jersey: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Green Heron Population Forecast in New Jersey
If the recent trend holds, Green Heron in New Jersey is projected to fall about 63% by 2029 — from 0.24 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.51). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-63%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5195% range
±31.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2026 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| 2027 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
| 2028 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.52 |
| 2029 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
Green Heron Survey Routes in New Jersey
| Bennett Mill | 6 | 1976 | 1967 |
| Deepwater | 5 | 1977 | 1969 |
| Spraguetown | 5 | 1983 | 1980 |
| Del Haven | 3 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Kemah Lake | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Six Points | 2 | 2015 | 1978 |
| Robbinsville | 2 | 1979 | 1979 |
| Midvale | 2 | 2006 | 1967 |
| Villas | 2 | 1980 | 1979 |
| Croton 2 | 2 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Woodbury Hgt | 1 | 2009 | 1968 |
| Greenwich | 1 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Toms River | 1 | 2009 | 1967 |
| Albion | 1 | 2011 | 1968 |
| Ancora | 1 | 1976 | 1972 |
| Sandbrook | 1 | 2000 | 1969 |
| Holmansville | 1 | 1996 | 1969 |
| Clarksville | 1 | 1984 | 1972 |
| New Bedford | 1 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Croton | 1 | 1999 | 1973 |
| Hope | 1 | 1994 | 1970 |
| Bloomsbury | 1 | 2013 | 1976 |
| High Point | 1 | 2021 | 1978 |
| Dover | 1 | 2022 | 1977 |
| Pottersville | 1 | 2013 | 1983 |
Green Heron Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.