BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Great Egret Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesWetland birds

Great Egret in Oklahoma has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+3%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
52Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Great Egret Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Great Egret in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Great Egret Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 26% by 2030 — from 1.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.39–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±87.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+26%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.39–2.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±87.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 26% by 2030 — from 1.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.39–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±87.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.30.322.4
20271.40.342.4
20281.40.352.4
20291.40.372.4
20301.40.392.4

Great Egret Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Great Egret in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Randlett4520052003
Keetonville1420221995
Sickles820212021
Holdenville720251986
Welch520251978
Goodwater520211993
Cooperton520242010
Canadian420171975
Erick420171996
Wakita420151992
Sandbluff420251992
Heyburn420251998
Mcalester319901971
Ardmore320251983
Choctaw320231977
Matoy319941992
Woodward320112011
Big Cedar220191979
Phroso220231993
Wichita Mtns East220252012
Baron220231976
Beggs220231972
Eagle City220091991
Rosston219991999
Pocola220091992

Great Egret Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.