BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Egret Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesWetland birds

Great Egret in Oklahoma has held roughly steady: down 6% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-6%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
52Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Great Egret Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Great Egret in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Great Egret Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 214% by 2029 — from 0.45 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.38–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±143.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+214%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.4Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.38–2.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±143.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 214% by 2029 — from 0.45 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.38–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±143.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.30.312.4
20261.40.332.4
20271.40.342.4
20281.40.362.4
20291.40.382.4

Great Egret Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Great Egret in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Randlett4520052003
Keetonville1420221995
Sickles820212021
Goodwater520211993
Cooperton520242010
Canadian420171975
Erick420171996
Wakita420151992
Mcalester319901971
Holdenville320241986
Choctaw320231977
Matoy319941992
Woodward320112011
Duncan320231994
Big Cedar220191979
Phroso220231993
Ardmore220091983
Baron220231976
Indianola220241970
Beggs220231972
Eagle City220091991
Bartlesville220232001
Rosston219991999
Pocola220091992
Heyburn220221998

Great Egret Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.