Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Egret Population Trend in North Dakota
Great Egret in North Dakota has surged: up 363% on the route-weighted index since 1998.
+363%Since 1998
13Routes In State
27Years
Notable Great Egret Trends in North Dakota
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Egret has surged in North Dakota: up 363% on the route-weighted index since 1998.
Great Egret Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in North Dakota is projected to rise about 173% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.40 (95% range 0.09–0.72). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±211.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+173%Change by 2029
0.40Projected 2029 index
0.09–0.7295% range
±211.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.36 | 0.04 | 0.67 |
| 2026 | 0.37 | 0.06 | 0.69 |
| 2027 | 0.38 | 0.07 | 0.70 |
| 2028 | 0.39 | 0.08 | 0.71 |
| 2029 | 0.40 | 0.09 | 0.72 |
Great Egret Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Forman | 4 | 2022 | 1996 |
| Lakota 2 | 4 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Montpelier | 3 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Horsehead Lk | 3 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Edgeley | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Lake George | 1 | 2019 | 2000 |
| Danzig | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Sheyenne Lk | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Buchanan | 1 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Braddock | 1 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Danzig 2 | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Lakota | 1 | 2009 | 2006 |
| Niles | 1 | 2022 | 2017 |
Great Egret Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.