Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Carolina Chickadee Population Trend in Virginia
Carolina Chickadee in Virginia has held roughly steady: down 6% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-6%Since 1968
88Routes In State
58Years
Notable Carolina Chickadee Trends in Virginia
No notable trend signals for Carolina Chickadee in Virginia. See the full index history below.
Carolina Chickadee Population Forecast in Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Virginia is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 9.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.9 (95% range 5.2–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-17%Change by 2029
7.9Projected 2029 index
5.2–1195% range
±19.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 11 |
| 2026 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 11 |
| 2027 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 11 |
| 2028 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 11 |
| 2029 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 11 |
Carolina Chickadee Survey Routes in Virginia
| Covington | 31 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Edinburg | 27 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Partlow | 26 | 2015 | 1977 |
| Irisburg | 26 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Hall | 20 | 2023 | 1967 |
| New Market | 20 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Ivanhoe | 18 | 1966 | 1966 |
| Newville | 18 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Branchville | 17 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Cornland | 17 | 2014 | 1975 |
| Newsoms | 16 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Blacksburg | 16 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Carters Brdg 2 | 16 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Ft Pickett S | 15 | 1995 | 1993 |
| Dismal Swamp | 15 | 2016 | 1992 |
| Tryme | 14 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Amherst | 14 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Quinby | 14 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Pungo | 14 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Walkers | 14 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Covesville | 13 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Finchley | 13 | 2021 | 1994 |
| Brandy Station | 12 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Lake Anna | 12 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Glenwood | 12 | 2023 | 1992 |
Carolina Chickadee Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.