Species · Illinois · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Carolina Chickadee Population Trend in Illinois
Carolina Chickadee in Illinois has surged: up 411% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+411%Since 1968
40Routes In State
58Years
Notable Carolina Chickadee Trends in Illinois
long arc increasecomputed index
Carolina Chickadee has surged in Illinois: up 411% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Carolina Chickadee Population Forecast in Illinois
If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Illinois is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.89–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-22%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.89–2.095% range
±29.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.4 | 0.83 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 1.4 | 0.84 | 1.9 |
| 2027 | 1.4 | 0.86 | 1.9 |
| 2028 | 1.4 | 0.88 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 1.4 | 0.89 | 2.0 |
Carolina Chickadee Survey Routes in Illinois
| Mt Vernon | 14 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Belknap | 13 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Bremen | 12 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Royalton | 12 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Bradbury | 10 | 2024 | 1970 |
| St Morgan | 10 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Pulaski | 10 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Birds | 8 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Cave In Rock | 8 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Grape Creek | 6 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Mascoutah Lk | 6 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Brnt Prairie | 6 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Jamestown | 5 | 2023 | 1967 |
| York | 5 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Kell | 4 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Brownville | 4 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Janesville | 3 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Beaverdam Lk | 3 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Yale | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Beaucoup | 2 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Olney | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Flora | 2 | 2019 | 1976 |
| Delwood | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Robinson | 2 | 2023 | 1971 |
| Marshall | 2 | 2024 | 2006 |
Carolina Chickadee Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.