Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Chickadee Population Trend in Kansas

Carolina Chickadee in Kansas has surged: up 909% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+909%Since 1969
14Routes In State
57Years

Notable Carolina Chickadee Trends in Kansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Chickadee has surged in Kansas: up 909% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Carolina Chickadee Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Kansas is projected to fall about 40% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.53–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-40%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.531.795% range
±41.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.00.461.6
20261.10.481.6
20271.10.491.7
20281.10.511.7
20291.10.531.7

Carolina Chickadee Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Carolina Chickadee in Kansas.
Dalton2220241970
Buckeye1319921969
Wellington920241970
Reece720242000
Melrose620231967
Humboldt620222016
Pittsburg620212000
Morehead620242000
Galesburg420241972
Ashland319871987
Lapland119961980
Coats119921971
Coldwater120121979
Longton120211978

Carolina Chickadee Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.