Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Carolina Chickadee Population Trend in Kansas
Carolina Chickadee in Kansas has surged: up 909% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+909%Since 1969
14Routes In State
57Years
Notable Carolina Chickadee Trends in Kansas
long arc increasecomputed index
Carolina Chickadee has surged in Kansas: up 909% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Carolina Chickadee Population Forecast in Kansas
If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Kansas is projected to fall about 40% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.53–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-40%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.53–1.795% range
±41.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.48 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.49 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.51 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.53 | 1.7 |
Carolina Chickadee Survey Routes in Kansas
Carolina Chickadee Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.