Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Carolina Chickadee Population Trend in Arkansas
Carolina Chickadee in Arkansas has edged up: up 24% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+24%Since 1969
62Routes In State
57Years
Notable Carolina Chickadee Trends in Arkansas
No notable trend signals for Carolina Chickadee in Arkansas. See the full index history below.
Carolina Chickadee Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Arkansas is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 7.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.2 (95% range 4.9–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+17%Change by 2029
8.2Projected 2029 index
4.9–1295% range
±25.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 11 |
| 2026 | 8.2 | 4.8 | 11 |
| 2027 | 8.2 | 4.8 | 11 |
| 2028 | 8.2 | 4.8 | 12 |
| 2029 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 12 |
Carolina Chickadee Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Farwell | 38 | 2018 | 2010 |
| Blakely | 29 | 1999 | 1968 |
| Stark | 24 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Zion | 21 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Nance | 19 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Marshall | 16 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Compton | 15 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Coal Hill | 14 | 2023 | 1968 |
| England | 14 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Lockesburg | 14 | 2019 | 2010 |
| Four Lakes | 14 | 2001 | 1994 |
| Magazine Mtn | 13 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Crows | 12 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Hughes | 11 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Massard | 11 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Ozark Nf | 10 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Ashdown | 9 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Waldron | 8 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Maynard | 8 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Yellville | 8 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Sims | 8 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Locust Bayou | 7 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Fulton | 7 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Rudy | 7 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Boston Mtn. | 7 | 2024 | 1994 |
Carolina Chickadee Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.