Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-and-white Warbler Population Trend in New Jersey
Black-and-white Warbler in New Jersey has increased: up 46% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+46%Since 1968
35Routes In State
58Years
Notable Black-and-white Warbler Trends in New Jersey
No notable trend signals for Black-and-white Warbler in New Jersey. See the full index history below.
Black-and-white Warbler Population Forecast in New Jersey
If the recent trend holds, Black-and-white Warbler in New Jersey is projected to fall about 69% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.80 (95% range 0.00–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±59.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-69%Change by 2029
0.80Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.095% range
±59.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 3.1 |
| 2026 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 3.1 |
| 2027 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 3.1 |
| 2028 | 0.81 | 0.00 | 3.0 |
| 2029 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 3.0 |
Black-and-white Warbler Survey Routes in New Jersey
| Spraguetown 3 | 21 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Toms River | 10 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Pomona | 10 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Friendship | 6 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Villas | 5 | 1981 | 1979 |
| Estell Manor | 4 | 2022 | 2021 |
| Spraguetown 2 | 3 | 2007 | 2000 |
| Bennett Mill | 3 | 2000 | 1966 |
| Cape May Ch | 3 | 2011 | 1992 |
| Winslow | 3 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Holmansville | 2 | 2004 | 1969 |
| Hope | 2 | 1994 | 1975 |
| High Point | 2 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Pottersville | 2 | 1997 | 1979 |
| Woodbury Hgt | 1 | 2014 | 1991 |
| Greenwich | 1 | 2015 | 1973 |
| Six Points | 1 | 1986 | 1978 |
| Albion | 1 | 2005 | 1966 |
| Ancora | 1 | 1972 | 1967 |
| Sandbrook | 1 | 2009 | 1980 |
| New Bedford | 1 | 2010 | 1993 |
| Croton | 1 | 2007 | 1978 |
| Midvale | 1 | 2003 | 1971 |
| Kemah Lake | 1 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Bloomsbury | 1 | 2010 | 1969 |
Black-and-white Warbler Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.