Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-and-white Warbler Population Trend in Kentucky
Black-and-white Warbler in Kentucky has edged up: up 17% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+17%Since 1968
44Routes In State
58Years
Notable Black-and-white Warbler Trends in Kentucky
No notable trend signals for Black-and-white Warbler in Kentucky. See the full index history below.
Black-and-white Warbler Population Forecast in Kentucky
If the recent trend holds, Black-and-white Warbler in Kentucky is projected to rise about 76% by 2029 — from 0.54 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.95 (95% range 0.18–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±98.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+76%Change by 2029
0.95Projected 2029 index
0.18–1.795% range
±98.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.90 | 0.14 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 0.92 | 0.15 | 1.7 |
| 2027 | 0.93 | 0.16 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 0.94 | 0.17 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 0.95 | 0.18 | 1.7 |
Black-and-white Warbler Survey Routes in Kentucky
| Beattyville 2 | 12 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Cumberlnd Gp | 7 | 2018 | 1973 |
| Paintsville | 7 | 1995 | 1979 |
| Pippa Passes | 6 | 1997 | 1988 |
| Dixie | 5 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Levee 2 | 5 | 2019 | 2007 |
| Staffordsvil | 4 | 1997 | 1996 |
| Monticello | 3 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Pine Ridge | 3 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Phelps | 3 | 1997 | 1979 |
| Bardwell | 2 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Apex | 2 | 2008 | 2005 |
| Mckee | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Johnsonville | 2 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Kehoe | 2 | 1992 | 1968 |
| Lebanon Junction | 2 | 2017 | 2001 |
| Brownsville | 1 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Canton | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Keysburg | 1 | 2009 | 1984 |
| Cedar Grove | 1 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Riverqueen | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Sulphur Lick | 1 | 2003 | 1981 |
| Hegira | 1 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Sunnybrook | 1 | 2019 | 1974 |
| Dixon | 1 | 2022 | 2019 |
Black-and-white Warbler Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.