Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-and-white Warbler Population Trend in Missouri
Black-and-white Warbler in Missouri has surged: up 255% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
+255%Since 1975
49Routes In State
50Years
Notable Black-and-white Warbler Trends in Missouri
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-and-white Warbler has surged in Missouri: up 255% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Black-and-white Warbler Population Forecast in Missouri
If the recent trend holds, Black-and-white Warbler in Missouri is projected to rise about 177% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.83 (95% range 0.32–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±113%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+177%Change by 2029
0.83Projected 2029 index
0.32–1.395% range
±113%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.78 | 0.27 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 0.79 | 0.28 | 1.3 |
| 2027 | 0.80 | 0.29 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 0.82 | 0.30 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.83 | 0.32 | 1.3 |
Black-and-white Warbler Survey Routes in Missouri
| Cascade | 6 | 2023 | 1979 |
| Williamsvill | 4 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Clementine 2 | 4 | 2007 | 2005 |
| Cassville | 3 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Centerville | 3 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Bland | 3 | 2019 | 1996 |
| Sweden | 2 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Pineville | 2 | 2016 | 1980 |
| Huntsville | 2 | 2019 | 1975 |
| Mincy | 2 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Bennett | 2 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Hilda | 2 | 2018 | 1994 |
| Osage Beach | 2 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Pulaski | 1 | 2018 | 1987 |
| Peace Valley | 1 | 2012 | 1981 |
| Cp Girardeau | 1 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Ironton | 1 | 1979 | 1974 |
| Akers | 1 | 2023 | 1978 |
| Wesco | 1 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Clementine | 1 | 2002 | 1980 |
| Handley | 1 | 2016 | 1986 |
| Graydon | 1 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Filley | 1 | 2018 | 1981 |
| Reeds | 1 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Hayden | 1 | 2007 | 1988 |
Black-and-white Warbler Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.