Species · Illinois · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bank Swallow Population Trend in Illinois
Bank Swallow in Illinois has collapsed: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-95%Since 1968
60Routes In State
58Years
Notable Bank Swallow Trends in Illinois
long arc declinecomputed index
Bank Swallow has collapsed in Illinois: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Bank Swallow Population Forecast in Illinois
If the recent trend holds, Bank Swallow in Illinois is projected to rise about 237% by 2029 — from 0.39 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.3 (95% range 0.00–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2513.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+237%Change by 2029
1.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.595% range
±2513.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2026 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2027 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2028 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2029 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
Bank Swallow Survey Routes in Illinois
| Wayne | 26 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Mackinaw | 13 | 2017 | 1966 |
| Grape Creek | 11 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Mt Vernon | 10 | 1980 | 1980 |
| Sterling | 8 | 2007 | 2001 |
| Jamestown | 7 | 1981 | 1968 |
| Keithsburg | 7 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Concord | 6 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Newark | 4 | 2016 | 1970 |
| Milford | 4 | 2013 | 1980 |
| Eldred | 4 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Geneseo | 3 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Compton | 3 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Williamsfld | 3 | 1974 | 1973 |
| Melrose | 3 | 1998 | 1978 |
| Union | 3 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Troy Grove | 3 | 2005 | 2005 |
| Guilford | 2 | 2014 | 1967 |
| Sheffield | 2 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Essex | 2 | 2006 | 1971 |
| Chandlervill | 2 | 2002 | 1971 |
| Terre Haute | 2 | 2017 | 1972 |
| Monica | 2 | 2000 | 1975 |
| Bluff Spgs | 2 | 2009 | 1970 |
| Mascoutah Lk | 2 | 1999 | 1967 |
Bank Swallow Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.