Species · Maryland · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bank Swallow Population Trend in Maryland
Bank Swallow in Maryland has collapsed: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-82%Since 1968
30Routes In State
57Years
Notable Bank Swallow Trends in Maryland
long arc declinecomputed index
Bank Swallow has collapsed in Maryland: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Bank Swallow Population Forecast in Maryland
If the recent trend holds, Bank Swallow in Maryland is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±301%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.295% range
±301%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
Bank Swallow Survey Routes in Maryland
| Madonna | 64 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Piney Neck | 6 | 2019 | 1966 |
| Northeast | 5 | 1994 | 1966 |
| Matthews | 5 | 1966 | 1966 |
| Davidsnville | 5 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Williamsport | 4 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Upper Xrds | 4 | 1970 | 1970 |
| Jones | 4 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Hughesville | 4 | 1997 | 1993 |
| Theodore | 4 | 2013 | 1971 |
| Millington | 4 | 2006 | 1968 |
| Bachman Mill | 2 | 1994 | 1987 |
| Van Bibber | 2 | 1966 | 1966 |
| Broomes Isl | 2 | 1983 | 1971 |
| Tall Timbers | 2 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Elkton | 2 | 1968 | 1966 |
| Harmony | 2 | 2017 | 1976 |
| Emmitsburg | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Olney | 1 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Pleasant Val | 1 | 1994 | 1967 |
| Eklo | 1 | 1979 | 1979 |
| Beltsville | 1 | 1990 | 1966 |
| Pomfret | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Melitota | 1 | 1996 | 1967 |
| Honga | 1 | 1989 | 1968 |
Bank Swallow Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.