Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Bank Swallow Population Trend in North Carolina

Bank Swallow in North Carolina has collapsed: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

-88%Since 1977
7Routes In State
20Years

Notable Bank Swallow Trends in North Carolina

long arc declinecomputed index

Bank Swallow has collapsed in North Carolina: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Bank Swallow Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Bank Swallow in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2021, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±261%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2021
0.00Projected 2021 index
0.000.2295% range
±261%Backtest error
19742021
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20170.010.000.24
20180.010.000.23
20190.010.000.23
20200.000.000.22
20210.000.000.22

Bank Swallow Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording Bank Swallow in North Carolina.
Pinelog320162001
Call320011977
Fairmont119741974
Hamlet120021999
Waco120042004
Arcola119861974
Murphy120081998

Bank Swallow Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.