Species · Illinois · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Acadian Flycatcher Population Trend in Illinois
Acadian Flycatcher in Illinois has surged: up 447% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+447%Since 1968
62Routes In State
58Years
Notable Acadian Flycatcher Trends in Illinois
long arc increasecomputed index
Acadian Flycatcher has surged in Illinois: up 447% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Acadian Flycatcher Population Forecast in Illinois
If the recent trend holds, Acadian Flycatcher in Illinois is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.45–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.7%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-32%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.45–1.795% range
±46.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.40 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.41 | 1.7 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.42 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.44 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.45 | 1.7 |
Acadian Flycatcher Survey Routes in Illinois
| Sandusky | 22 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Belleview | 20 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Bremen | 20 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Cave In Rock | 18 | 2024 | 1993 |
| York | 13 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Pulaski | 12 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Beaverdam Lk | 8 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Delwood | 7 | 2024 | 1974 |
| St Morgan | 5 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Birds | 4 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Belknap | 4 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Chandlervill | 3 | 1972 | 1971 |
| Bradbury | 3 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Mascoutah Lk | 3 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Marshall | 3 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Guilford | 2 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Payson | 2 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Eubanks | 2 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Athensville | 2 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Pawnee | 2 | 1978 | 1967 |
| Clarksdale | 2 | 2021 | 1968 |
| Columbia | 2 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Robinson | 2 | 2022 | 2021 |
| Camp Point | 2 | 2023 | 2002 |
| Royalton | 2 | 2024 | 2004 |
Acadian Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.