Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Acadian Flycatcher Population Trend in Arkansas
Acadian Flycatcher in Arkansas has increased: up 41% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+41%Since 1969
55Routes In State
57Years
Notable Acadian Flycatcher Trends in Arkansas
No notable trend signals for Acadian Flycatcher in Arkansas. See the full index history below.
Acadian Flycatcher Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Acadian Flycatcher in Arkansas is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 3.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 1.6–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-16%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
1.6–3.995% range
±23.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 3.8 |
| 2027 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 3.8 |
| 2028 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 3.8 |
| 2029 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 3.9 |
Acadian Flycatcher Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Crowley'S Ridge | 26 | 2024 | 2011 |
| South Bend | 12 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Hope | 9 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Marshall | 9 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Locust Bayou | 8 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Poyen | 8 | 2007 | 1967 |
| Nance | 8 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Ozark Nf | 7 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Rupert | 6 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Springhill | 6 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Havana | 5 | 2021 | 2010 |
| Four Lakes | 5 | 2001 | 1994 |
| Hatfield 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Zion | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Ravenden Springs | 4 | 2015 | 2010 |
| Boston Mtn. | 4 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Dry Fork 2 | 4 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Hughes | 3 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Waldron | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Saffell | 3 | 2016 | 2003 |
| Compton | 3 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Rudy | 3 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Princeton | 3 | 2014 | 1998 |
| Poyen 2 | 3 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Old Milo | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
Acadian Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.