Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Acadian Flycatcher Population Trend in Mississippi
Acadian Flycatcher in Mississippi has surged: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
19×Since 1968
64Routes In State
58Years
Notable Acadian Flycatcher Trends in Mississippi
long arc increasecomputed index
Acadian Flycatcher has surged in Mississippi: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Acadian Flycatcher Population Forecast in Mississippi
If the recent trend holds, Acadian Flycatcher in Mississippi is projected to rise about 54% by 2029 — from 3.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 3.0–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+54%Change by 2029
5.4Projected 2029 index
3.0–7.795% range
±25.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 7.4 |
| 2026 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 7.5 |
| 2027 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 7.6 |
| 2028 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 7.7 |
| 2029 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 7.7 |
Acadian Flycatcher Survey Routes in Mississippi
| Trace South | 41 | 2019 | 2007 |
| Trace Lorman | 35 | 2019 | 2016 |
| Oak Ridge Vick | 35 | 2021 | 2015 |
| Trace Attala | 31 | 2019 | 2016 |
| Delta N.F. | 28 | 2021 | 1995 |
| Vicksburg Np | 25 | 2021 | 2016 |
| Warren Vick | 24 | 2022 | 2018 |
| Trace Chickasaw | 22 | 2023 | 2012 |
| Trace Choctaw | 20 | 2019 | 2012 |
| Beverly | 15 | 2011 | 1966 |
| Fort Adams | 15 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Holly Springs | 11 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Trace Central | 10 | 2022 | 2007 |
| Trace Hinds | 10 | 2022 | 2014 |
| Lake | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Corinth | 8 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Duck Hill | 7 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Forest | 7 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Embry | 7 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Sandy Creek | 6 | 2000 | 1993 |
| Trace North | 6 | 2018 | 2008 |
| Trace Lee | 6 | 2018 | 2013 |
| Star | 5 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Dundee | 4 | 2022 | 1972 |
| Fayette | 4 | 2013 | 1972 |
Acadian Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.