Species · Maryland · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Acadian Flycatcher Population Trend in Maryland
Acadian Flycatcher in Maryland has surged: up 181% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+181%Since 1968
76Routes In State
58Years
Notable Acadian Flycatcher Trends in Maryland
long arc increasecomputed index
Acadian Flycatcher has surged in Maryland: up 181% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Acadian Flycatcher Population Forecast in Maryland
If the recent trend holds, Acadian Flycatcher in Maryland is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 9.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.4 (95% range 6.6–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-15%Change by 2029
8.4Projected 2029 index
6.6–1095% range
±16%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.0 | 6.2 | 9.8 |
| 2026 | 8.1 | 6.3 | 9.9 |
| 2027 | 8.2 | 6.4 | 9.9 |
| 2028 | 8.3 | 6.5 | 10 |
| 2029 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 10 |
Acadian Flycatcher Survey Routes in Maryland
| Island Creek | 67 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Pomonkey | 55 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Earlton | 48 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Hughesville | 24 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Smithsburg | 19 | 2014 | 1972 |
| Davidsnville | 19 | 2024 | 1982 |
| La Plata | 17 | 2009 | 1966 |
| Pomfret | 15 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Millington | 15 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Wolfsville | 14 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Olney | 14 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Forest Grove | 14 | 2023 | 2011 |
| Pr Frederick | 13 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Pt Republic | 12 | 1989 | 1966 |
| Oldtown | 11 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Furnace Town | 11 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Tall Timbers | 10 | 2014 | 1966 |
| Madonna | 10 | 2022 | 2009 |
| Nottingham | 10 | 2024 | 2005 |
| St. George'S Island | 9 | 2017 | 2015 |
| Jennings | 8 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Cheltenham | 7 | 2004 | 1966 |
| Broomes Isl | 7 | 1996 | 1966 |
| Sinepuxent | 7 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Green Ridge | 7 | 2024 | 1995 |
Acadian Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.