BirdAnalyst
Guild · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Aerial Insectivores In Arizona

All statesArizona

28 species in this guild. As a group they are -13% since 1970.

Guild Signals

No notable trend signals for aerial insectivores in Arizona. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Aerial insectivores in Arizona is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.3 (95% range 1.1–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
1.1–3.695% range
±15.4%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.41.13.7
20262.41.13.7
20272.41.13.6
20282.41.13.6
20292.31.13.6

Member Species In Arizona

Aerial insectivores species in Arizona.
Tree SwallowHirundinidae-86%
Common NighthawkCaprimulgidae-84%
Common PoorwillCaprimulgidae-80%
Western KingbirdTyrannidae-74%
Northern Rough-winged SwallowHirundinidae-56%
Northern Beardless-TyrannuletTyrannidae-45%
Cliff SwallowHirundinidae-42%
White-throated SwiftApodidae-39%
Say's PhoebeTyrannidae-16%
Cassin's KingbirdTyrannidae-12%
Black PhoebeTyrannidae-12%
Sulphur-bellied FlycatcherTyrannidae+4%
Greater PeweeTyrannidae+17%
Olive-sided FlycatcherTyrannidae+31%
Thick-billed KingbirdTyrannidae+36%
Gray FlycatcherTyrannidae+48%
Mexican Whip-poor-willCaprimulgidae+58%
Violet-green SwallowHirundinidae+63%
Ash-throated FlycatcherTyrannidae+77%
Vermilion FlycatcherTyrannidae+92%
Lesser NighthawkCaprimulgidae+106%
Willow FlycatcherTyrannidae+114%
Western Wood-PeweeTyrannidae+124%
Dusky FlycatcherTyrannidae+138%
Dusky-capped FlycatcherTyrannidae+155%
Barn SwallowHirundinidae+233%
Purple MartinHirundinidae+401%
Brown-crested FlycatcherTyrannidae+439%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.