Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Tree Swallow Population Trend in West Virginia
Tree Swallow in West Virginia has surged: up 23× on the route-weighted index since 1977.
23×Since 1977
59Routes In State
47Years
Notable Tree Swallow Trends in West Virginia
long arc increasecomputed index
Tree Swallow has surged in West Virginia: up 23× on the route-weighted index since 1977.
Tree Swallow Population Forecast in West Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Tree Swallow in West Virginia is projected to rise about 72% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.9 (95% range 2.6–5.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.3%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+72%Change by 2029
3.9Projected 2029 index
2.6–5.395% range
±74.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 5.0 |
| 2026 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 5.0 |
| 2027 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 5.1 |
| 2028 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 5.2 |
| 2029 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 5.3 |
Tree Swallow Survey Routes in West Virginia
| Welch | 35 | 2022 | 2002 |
| Clear Creek | 26 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Ghent | 13 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Clendenin | 13 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Glade Run | 9 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Lost River | 7 | 2023 | 2001 |
| Hubbardstown | 6 | 2023 | 2003 |
| Ruthbelle | 6 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Pt Pleasant | 5 | 2022 | 2000 |
| Spencer | 5 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Yellow Spg | 5 | 2022 | 1984 |
| Shanghai | 5 | 2022 | 1999 |
| Stollings | 4 | 2007 | 2004 |
| Bramwell | 4 | 2019 | 1981 |
| Yawkey | 4 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Washburn | 4 | 2015 | 2002 |
| Paradise | 3 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Olcott | 3 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Slate | 3 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Hix | 2 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Smoot | 2 | 2019 | 1986 |
| Meadland | 2 | 2018 | 2002 |
| Nicut | 2 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Fayetteville | 2 | 1996 | 1991 |
| Sutton | 2 | 2022 | 1989 |
Tree Swallow Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.