Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Tree Swallow Population Trend in Alabama
Tree Swallow in Alabama has surged: up 300% on the route-weighted index since 1996.
+300%Since 1996
37Routes In State
26Years
Notable Tree Swallow Trends in Alabama
long arc increasecomputed index
Tree Swallow has surged in Alabama: up 300% on the route-weighted index since 1996.
Tree Swallow Population Forecast in Alabama
If the recent trend holds, Tree Swallow in Alabama is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.38 (95% range 0.08–0.67). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+13%Change by 2029
0.38Projected 2029 index
0.08–0.6795% range
±16.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.34 | 0.05 | 0.64 |
| 2026 | 0.35 | 0.06 | 0.64 |
| 2027 | 0.36 | 0.07 | 0.65 |
| 2028 | 0.37 | 0.08 | 0.66 |
| 2029 | 0.38 | 0.08 | 0.67 |
Tree Swallow Survey Routes in Alabama
| Guntersville | 19 | 2017 | 2012 |
| Riverside | 8 | 2013 | 2004 |
| Wheeler Dam | 7 | 2023 | 1996 |
| Drummond | 4 | 2024 | 2021 |
| St Florian | 3 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Elkmont | 3 | 2018 | 2010 |
| Lakeview | 3 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Swaim | 2 | 2017 | 1996 |
| Greensport | 2 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Whitehall | 2 | 2009 | 2008 |
| Carrollton | 2 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Odenville | 2 | 2023 | 2009 |
| Woodville | 2 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Talladega | 2 | 2022 | 1996 |
| Gastonburg | 2 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Triana | 2 | 2012 | 2012 |
| Trade | 1 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Valhermoso Spgs | 1 | 2008 | 1999 |
| Pine Grove | 1 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Dawson | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Mt Olive | 1 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Maytown | 1 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Greensboro | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Kymulga | 1 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Borden Springs 2 | 1 | 2013 | 2005 |
Tree Swallow Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.