Species · Connecticut · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Tree Swallow Population Trend in Connecticut
Tree Swallow in Connecticut has edged up: up 13% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+13%Since 1968
20Routes In State
58Years
Notable Tree Swallow Trends in Connecticut
No notable trend signals for Tree Swallow in Connecticut. See the full index history below.
Tree Swallow Population Forecast in Connecticut
If the recent trend holds, Tree Swallow in Connecticut is projected to rise about 33% by 2029 — from 4.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.5 (95% range 0.55–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±109.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+33%Change by 2029
6.5Projected 2029 index
0.55–1295% range
±109.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.3 | 0.37 | 12 |
| 2026 | 6.4 | 0.41 | 12 |
| 2027 | 6.4 | 0.46 | 12 |
| 2028 | 6.5 | 0.50 | 12 |
| 2029 | 6.5 | 0.55 | 12 |
Tree Swallow Survey Routes in Connecticut
| Warren | 13 | 2011 | 1972 |
| Sherman | 9 | 2019 | 1972 |
| Mid Haddam | 8 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Woodstock | 7 | 2007 | 1968 |
| Westbrook | 7 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Willimantic | 6 | 2018 | 1967 |
| No Woodbury | 6 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Long Hill | 6 | 2018 | 1972 |
| Southington | 6 | 2024 | 1973 |
| New Hartford | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Buckingham | 4 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Uncasville | 4 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Warren 2 | 4 | 2024 | 2012 |
| New Hartford | 3 | 1987 | 1972 |
| Mystic | 2 | 2022 | 1973 |
| E Hartland | 2 | 1992 | 1966 |
| Greenwich | 2 | 2017 | 1968 |
| Woodstock 2 | 2 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Danbury | 1 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Granby | 1 | 2024 | 1988 |
Tree Swallow Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.