Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Song Sparrow Population Trend in North Dakota
Song Sparrow in North Dakota has surged: up 256% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+256%Since 1969
51Routes In State
57Years
Notable Song Sparrow Trends in North Dakota
long arc increasecomputed index
Song Sparrow has surged in North Dakota: up 255% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Song Sparrow Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Song Sparrow in North Dakota is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 18 (95% range 14–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+39%Change by 2029
18Projected 2029 index
14–2395% range
±28.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 13 | 22 |
| 2026 | 18 | 13 | 22 |
| 2027 | 18 | 13 | 22 |
| 2028 | 18 | 14 | 23 |
| 2029 | 18 | 14 | 23 |
Song Sparrow Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Turtle Mtns | 62 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Kempton | 40 | 2017 | 1967 |
| Emerado | 37 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Loraine | 34 | 2019 | 1982 |
| Nash | 29 | 2017 | 1980 |
| Lakota | 26 | 2009 | 1968 |
| Buchanan | 24 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Cooperstown | 22 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Sheyenne Lk | 21 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Forman | 20 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Horsehead Lk | 20 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Edgeley | 19 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Montpelier | 19 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Danzig 2 | 19 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Rolla | 18 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Niles | 14 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Abercrombie 2 | 11 | 2018 | 2013 |
| Carpio | 9 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Powers Lake | 8 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Douglas Crk | 8 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Braddock | 8 | 2022 | 1989 |
| Wimbledon | 7 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Dickinson | 7 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Bowesmont | 6 | 2014 | 1968 |
| Denbigh | 6 | 2024 | 1968 |
Song Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.