BirdAnalyst
Species · Montana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Say's Phoebe Population Trend in Montana

All statesAerial insectivores

Say's Phoebe in Montana has surged: up 266% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+266%Since 1970
77Routes In State
56Years

Notable Say's Phoebe Trends in Montana

long arc increasecomputed index

Say's Phoebe has surged in Montana: up 265% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Say's Phoebe Population Forecast in Montana

If the recent trend holds, Say's Phoebe in Montana is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 0.71 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.83 (95% range 0.23–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029
0.83Projected 2029 index
0.23–1.495% range
±13.7%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.810.211.4
20260.820.211.4
20270.820.221.4
20280.830.221.4
20290.830.231.4

Say's Phoebe Survey Routes in Montana

Routes recording Say's Phoebe in Montana.
Laurel1220221968
Forsyth820231988
Brandenberg620191969
Wheat Basin620242017
Reed Point520241978
Coleman Coulee520232017
Redstone420241978
Locate420171981
Whitlash420242009
Wolf Point420212015
Muddy Creek420152015
Hehn Draw420242016
Pryor Mtn.420181995
Glasgow320241980
Savage320211968
Ingomar320151970
Dinosaurs H.M.320242018
Lindsay320242015
Custer320222019
Chuffey Spring320242016
Custer 2320242024
Hay Lake220221990
Sunburst220071978
Harlem220181991
Leroy220241990

Say's Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.