Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Say's Phoebe Population Trend in Alaska
Say's Phoebe in Alaska has collapsed: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
-99%Since 1983
35Routes In State
39Years
Notable Say's Phoebe Trends in Alaska
long arc declinecomputed index
Say's Phoebe has collapsed in Alaska: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
Say's Phoebe Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Say's Phoebe in Alaska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2019.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.095% range
±2019.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
Say's Phoebe Survey Routes in Alaska
| Chistochina | 6 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Cordova | 6 | 1996 | 1994 |
| Tangle Lakes | 4 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Skilak Lake | 3 | 1983 | 1978 |
| Council | 3 | 2004 | 1996 |
| Ft. Richrdsn | 3 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Eagle | 2 | 2017 | 2007 |
| Chatanika R | 2 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Birch Lake | 2 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Homer | 2 | 1978 | 1978 |
| Mt. Fairplay | 2 | 2010 | 1997 |
| Kuskulana | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Northway | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Maclaren | 1 | 2021 | 1982 |
| Monahan | 1 | 2003 | 2003 |
| Cantwell | 1 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Mccarthy Rd2 | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Toklat | 1 | 2008 | 1982 |
| Burma Road | 1 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Coldfoot | 1 | 2021 | 1994 |
| Galbraith L. | 1 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Happy Valley | 1 | 2013 | 2007 |
| Salmon Lake | 1 | 2009 | 2004 |
| Skagway | 1 | 2008 | 1994 |
| Chena Hot Sp | 1 | 1990 | 1985 |
Say's Phoebe Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.