BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Say's Phoebe Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesAerial insectivores

Say's Phoebe in Oklahoma has surged: up 144% on the route-weighted index since 1983.

+144%Since 1983
8Routes In State
33Years

Notable Say's Phoebe Trends in Oklahoma

long arc increasecomputed index

Say's Phoebe has surged in Oklahoma: up 144% on the route-weighted index since 1983.

Say's Phoebe Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Say's Phoebe in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 33% by 2029 — from 0.38 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.26 (95% range 0.06–0.45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-33%Change by 2029
0.26Projected 2029 index
0.06–0.4595% range
±38.4%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.240.040.43
20260.240.040.44
20270.240.050.44
20280.250.050.45
20290.260.060.45

Say's Phoebe Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Say's Phoebe in Oklahoma.
Beaver620181983
Clear Lake520241994
Felt420241969
Hardesty220241993
Keyes220231995
Rosston120181994
Hooker120222008
Cooperton120222022

Say's Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoidahoiowakansasmontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconorth-dakotaoregonsouth-dakotatexasutahwashingtonwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.