BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pine Warbler Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Pine Warbler in Texas has surged: up 145% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+145%Since 1969
46Routes In State
57Years

Notable Pine Warbler Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Pine Warbler has surged in Texas: up 145% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Pine Warbler Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Texas is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 1.0–4.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±58.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2029
2.6Projected 2029 index
1.0–4.295% range
±58.6%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.50.914.1
20262.50.944.1
20272.50.964.1
20282.60.994.1
20292.61.04.2

Pine Warbler Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Pine Warbler in Texas.
New Waverly5920241969
Powell Park 25120242022
Livingston4920241969
Powell Park4820211995
Union Hill4020241994
Caledonia3720241970
Diboll3620241968
Crossroads3520241967
Weches3420241995
Alexander St3120241995
Big Sandy Bith2820242015
Easton 22620242014
Fred1920241995
Smyrna1920101995
Town Bluff1620241967
Mt. Selman1620241998
Morton1320241972
Liberty Hill1320231971
Bon Wier1220241996
Easton1220131994
Lance Rosier Bith1020192014
Smyrna 21020232011
Oak Grove719991967
Athens720241970
Chandler 2620242005

Pine Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.