BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pine Warbler Population Trend in Missouri

All statesForest birds

Pine Warbler in Missouri has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1973.

13×Since 1973
31Routes In State
53Years

Notable Pine Warbler Trends in Missouri

long arc increasecomputed index

Pine Warbler has surged in Missouri: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Pine Warbler Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Missouri is projected to rise about 25% by 2029 — from 1.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.3–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+25%Change by 2029
2.4Projected 2029 index
1.3–3.595% range
±53.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.31.23.4
20262.31.23.4
20272.31.23.4
20282.41.33.5
20292.41.33.5

Pine Warbler Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Pine Warbler in Missouri.
Williamsvill2320241994
Centerville1820241994
Bennett1720241994
Akers1220241967
Mincy1120242014
Palace1120242013
Cascade1020241980
Rueter 2920242023
Wesco720241975
Syracuse620161995
Rueter520222022
Pineville320241983
Hilda320241996
Ironton219801973
Hayden220172004
Viburnum220242014
Doe Run220232019
West Plains220142014
Pulaski120012001
Peace Valley120241994
Sweden120241977
Cassville120232023
Clementine120021994
Watson120232022
Gerald120242024

Pine Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippinew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.