BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pine Warbler Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesForest birds

Pine Warbler in Arkansas has surged: up 223% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+223%Since 1969
46Routes In State
57Years

Notable Pine Warbler Trends in Arkansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Pine Warbler has surged in Arkansas: up 223% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Pine Warbler Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Arkansas is projected to rise about 37% by 2029 — from 9.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 8.1–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+37%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
8.1–1795% range
±23.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025127.516
2026127.616
2027127.817
2028127.917
2029128.117

Pine Warbler Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Pine Warbler in Arkansas.
Waldron5020241967
Four Lakes4020011994
Princeton 23520222022
Sims3320242010
Magazine Mtn3220211993
Ozark Nf2120241991
Locust Bayou2020231967
Dry Fork 22020242024
Lurton1920231967
Stephens1920242010
Hatfield 21720242017
Princeton1720211998
Hollywood1620241967
Dry Fork1620232000
Ashdown1520231967
Blakely1519991968
Ramsey1419971967
Stark1420241968
Lockesburg1420192010
Poyen1320071967
Hope1220241967
Zion1220231976
Old Milo1120241967
Marshall1120212011
Springhill1120222010

Pine Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.