BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Osprey Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Osprey in Florida has surged: up 289% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+289%Since 1968
97Routes In State
58Years

Notable Osprey Trends in Florida

long arc increasecomputed index

Osprey has surged in Florida: up 289% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Osprey Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Osprey in Florida is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 1.5–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
1.5–2.895% range
±33.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.11.42.7
20262.11.52.7
20272.11.52.7
20282.11.52.7
20292.21.52.8

Osprey Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Osprey in Florida.
Scottsmoor4120241968
Winter Gardn3120191988
Vero Beach1620221993
Weaver Stn1220191988
Punta Gorda920151980
Sandy820151987
Shawano720021999
Merritt Isl720111991
Ft Waltn Bch620111966
Childs620221966
Citrus Park520241994
Pleasant Grove 2520242010
Wildernes Pk520141992
Plantation K420041966
Arbuckle420211987
Lake Buffum420241988
Lovedale420111988
Ridge Harbor420241996
San Antonio320241971
Mabel320111967
Ft Lonesome320241970
Alligator Pt320241987
Key Largo319911988
Myakka Head 2320212012
Shawano 2320112005

Osprey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.