BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Osprey Population Trend in Georgia

All statesBirds of prey

Osprey in Georgia has surged: up 573% on the route-weighted index since 1981.

+573%Since 1981TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
46Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
40YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Osprey Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Osprey in Georgia. See the full index history below.

Osprey Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Osprey in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.21 (95% range 0.12–0.30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+5%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.21Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.12–0.3095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±30.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Osprey in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.21 (95% range 0.12–0.30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.190.100.28
20270.200.100.28
20280.200.110.29
20290.200.110.29
20300.210.120.30

Osprey Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Osprey in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Darien420191967
Washington420251997
Oakman320242013
Siloam320242002
Curry Hill320192009
Rock Branch320252010
Ousley220232015
Boston220252009
Shiloh220252012
Harrietts Bl120021991
Stockton120222009
Fowlstown120142008
Fitzgerald120232013
Everett City120162016
Courthouse119881988
Cuthbert120122012
Wrightsville120252005
Forsyth120242012
Nashville120252015
Maxeys120172017
Newton120242008
Cotton120232022
Cartersville120161986
Henderson120242024
Doles120062006

Osprey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.