Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Osprey Population Trend in Kentucky

Osprey in Kentucky has fallen sharply: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1990.

-61%Since 1990
5Routes In State
28Years

Notable Osprey Trends in Kentucky

long arc declinecomputed index

Osprey has fallen sharply in Kentucky: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1990.

Osprey Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, Osprey in Kentucky is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.03Projected 2028 index
0.000.0895% range
±40.3%Backtest error
19862028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.040.000.08
20250.040.000.08
20260.040.000.08
20270.040.000.08
20280.030.000.08

Osprey Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording Osprey in Kentucky.
Canton120232023
Joy120221986
Bardwell 2120092009
Hustonville120062006
Hodgenville 2120172017

Osprey Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.