BirdAnalyst
Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Osprey Population Trend in Tennessee

All statesGeneralists

Osprey in Tennessee has surged: up 937% on the route-weighted index since 1982.

+937%Since 1982
11Routes In State
26Years

Notable Osprey Trends in Tennessee

long arc increasecomputed index

Osprey has surged in Tennessee: up 937% on the route-weighted index since 1982.

Osprey Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Osprey in Tennessee is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.27 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.04–0.41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029
0.23Projected 2029 index
0.04–0.4195% range
±31.9%Backtest error
19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.210.020.39
20260.210.030.39
20270.220.030.40
20280.220.040.40
20290.230.040.41

Osprey Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Osprey in Tennessee.
Signal Mtn420241982
Tiptonville220231991
Jefferson Cty120031970
Big Sandy120242016
Mt Olive120242024
Allens Brdge120232023
Pawpaw 2120192017
Humboldt120082008
Wrigley120142014
Peytonsville119931993
Glen120232023

Osprey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.