Species · Maine · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Carolina Wren Population Trend in Maine
Carolina Wren in Maine has surged: up 15× on the route-weighted index since 2000.
15×Since 2000
9Routes In State
21Years
Notable Carolina Wren Trends in Maine
long arc increasecomputed index
Carolina Wren has surged in Maine: up 15× on the route-weighted index since 2000.
Carolina Wren Population Forecast in Maine
If the recent trend holds, Carolina Wren in Maine is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.36 (95% range 0.05–0.67). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-2%Change by 2029
0.36Projected 2029 index
0.05–0.6795% range
±63.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.62 |
| 2026 | 0.33 | 0.02 | 0.64 |
| 2027 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.65 |
| 2028 | 0.35 | 0.04 | 0.66 |
| 2029 | 0.36 | 0.05 | 0.67 |
Carolina Wren Survey Routes in Maine
| Cape Neddick | 6 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Kittery Pt | 6 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Northfield 2 | 2 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Carrabassett | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Westbrook | 1 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Otisfield Gr | 1 | 2012 | 2012 |
| Hartford | 1 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Bowdoin Ctr | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Freedom | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
Carolina Wren Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.