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Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Wren Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Carolina Wren in Florida has risen sharply: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+68%Since 1968
124Routes In State
58Years

Notable Carolina Wren Trends in Florida

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Wren has risen sharply in Florida: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Carolina Wren Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Wren in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 36 (95% range 28–43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2029
36Projected 2029 index
28–4395% range
±13.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025352742
2026352743
2027352743
2028352843
2029362843

Carolina Wren Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Carolina Wren in Florida.
Broad Branch13220241967
Lovedale12020111987
Seminole Hills 29320222002
Pinetta9120241987
Miller Xrds8820191987
Osceola8020241991
Dowling Park7820231987
Belmore7420241966
Defuniak Spr7120221987
Betts7020241987
Belmont6620241966
Kenansville6120241967
New Hope6020112009
Miccosukee5920241966
Goethe5920242010
Hildreth 25820242010
Olustee5820221992
Mt. Olive5720242002
Alligator Pt5620241987
Covington5520211966
Hixtown Swmp5520241987
Hildreth5320091987
Cross City5320231988
Scottsmoor5220241968
Bloxham5120221987

Carolina Wren Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.