BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barred Owl Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesGeneralists

Barred Owl in Oklahoma has surged: up 135% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+135%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
51Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Barred Owl Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Barred Owl has surged in Oklahoma: up 135% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Barred Owl Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 73% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.48 (95% range 0.23–0.72). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±118.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+73%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.48Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.23–0.7295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±118.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 73% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.48 (95% range 0.23–0.72). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±118.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.460.210.70
20260.460.220.71
20270.470.220.71
20280.470.230.72
20290.480.230.72

Barred Owl Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Barred Owl in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Mill Creek520171978
Keetonville520221998
Indianola420241968
Beggs420231967
Matoy420001992
Douglas320181977
Big Cedar220231968
Blanco219971978
Mcalester219711971
Choctaw220171989
Noble220151982
Welch220231967
Collinsville220211968
Colony219951995
Goodwater220211992
Heyburn220242000
Sickles220211996
Colcord220221994
Mt. Herman220162004
Phillips120061990
Loco119771972
Ardmore120081978
Randlett120211969
Phroso120211995
Ouachita Nf120121997

Barred Owl Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.